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☆ Billionaire investor Howard Marks says AI's impact doesn't make it immune to a crash
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-24 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

AI is transformative, but it's hard to determine its stock winners, Howard Marks told CNBC. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementArtificial intelligence might end up changing the world, but that alone can't determine the success of its underlying assets, Howard Marks said. When it comes to AI, Marks acknowledged the technology's transformative potential, and he himself can't say whether its beneficiaries are already under or overvalued. "So to say well, I think that AI will be very important, that's the easy part," the billionaire investor said.

Persons: Howard Marks, —, it's, Marks, Goldman Sachs, Wall, Steve Eisman, they're Organizations: CNBC, Service, Bank of America

☆ 'Every bubble ensues from widespread conviction,' says Oaktree's Howard Marks amid AI boom
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Every bubble ensues from widespread conviction,' says Oaktree's Howard Marks amid AI boomHoward Marks, co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, discusses the AI boom and market bubbles, saying "this stuff isn't easy."

Persons: Oaktree's Howard Marks, Howard Marks Organizations: Oaktree Capital Management

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Oaktree's Howard Marks on AI, interest rates and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Oaktree's Howard Marks on AI, interest rates and moreHoward Marks, co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, discusses his outlook on the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, interest rates, and how credit should play an important role in portfolios.

Persons: Oaktree's Howard Marks, Howard Marks Organizations: Oaktree Capital Management

☆ Market veteran Howard Marks says Fed is 'not going back' to ultra-low rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The Federal Reserve will not bring interest rates back down to their post-financial crisis lows, according to veteran investor Howard Marks — and he believes that's a good thing. "The U.S. economy is doing quite well, and so it's not clear that it requires stimulus," Marks told CNBC's Frank Holland on Tuesday. The current federal funds target rate of 5.25% to 5.5% is an "emergency measure designed to cool off the economy and inflation," Marks continued. I think that's in the threes." "I think that interest rates should most of the time be set by the free market.

Persons: Howard Marks —, that's, Marks, CNBC's Frank Holland, we're Organizations: Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ Some options trades for avoiding an asset bubble and other macroeconomic troubles
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-11 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

There are some trades for investors looking to avoid a possible asset bubble and other potholes that could be ahead. The standard 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose even further, a function of both the rising risk-free rate and the rising spread. Buying bonds has interest rate risk. Moreover, the spread between mortgage rates and Treasuries is unusually high. Risk-free rates stay static or even rise mildly, but if the spread narrows mortgage rates could fall, a tailwind for a mortgage portfolio.

Persons: There's, Murray Rothbard, Milton Friedman, Ben Bernanke, Bernanke's, Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, Howard Marks, Charlie Munger, Berkshire Hathaway, Marks, Steve Eisman, Neuberger Berman, they've Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank, Vanguard Value, Technology, MBS Locations: U.S, deflate, Berkshire

☆ The Secrets to Charlie Munger’s Success
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Jason Zweig | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Charlie Munger in 2019 at his home in Los Angeles. Photo: Michael Lewis for The Wall Street JournalBusiness and financial leaders made frequent pilgrimages to Los Angeles to hear Charlie Munger ’s thoughts as he held court while peering through thick eyeglasses over high, rosy cheekbones. Among the attendees at his weekly “Friday lunch club” and periodic dinners were John and Patrick Collison , founders of the online payment firm Stripe; Bobby Kotick , chief executive of videogame company Activision Blizzard ; Pradeep Khosla , chancellor of the University of California, San Diego; Maria Pope , chief executive of Portland General Electric , Oregon’s largest utility; and Howard Marks , co-founder of investment firm Oaktree Capital Management.

Persons: Charlie Munger, Michael Lewis, Charlie Munger ’, John, Patrick Collison, Bobby Kotick, Pradeep Khosla, Maria Pope, Howard Marks Organizations: The Wall Street Journal, Activision Blizzard, University of California, Portland General Electric, Oaktree Capital Management Locations: Los Angeles, San Diego, Portland

☆ How Morgan Stanley exec Ted Pick rose from 'rough edged' deal junkie to CEO
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Hayley Cuccinello | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +21 min

Editor's note: Morgan Stanley announced on October 25 that Ted Pick would replace James Gorman as CEO. Employees knew they were getting promoted if Pick told them to wear a tie the following day, an ex-managing director recalled. While Morgan Stanley currently trades at a premium among its Wall Street peers, its enviable success isn't thanks to Pick. Gonzalo Marroquin/Patrick McMullan via Getty Images Show less Morgan Stanley investment management head and dark horse in the race for CEO, Dan Simkowitz. Despite enjoying the stock price gains under Gorman's reign, plenty of longtime employees want another dyed-in-the-wool Morgan Stanley loyalist, according to a former senior executive.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, James Gorman, Pick, Gucci loafers, Blackstone, Tony James, Morgan, Gorman, Andy Saperstein, Dan Simkowitz, John Mack, Ted, James, Phil Purcell, Mack, Purcell, Merrill Lynch, Paul Taubman, Colm Kelleher, coheads, Gonzalo Marroquin, Patrick McMullan, Saperstein, Euromoney, Parker Gilbert, He's, John, cohead, Bolu, Goldman Sachs, Pablo, tony, Betsey Kittenplan, Smith Barney, James cochairs, Jim Breyer, Anna Wintour, John Mack pranking Pick, John Waldron, I'm, Howard Marks, Bill Parcells, atta, Brian Moynihan, aren't, David Solomon, Jamie Dimon's, Eaton Vance, he's, you've, Richard Drew, —, Hayley Cuccinello Organizations: Employees, Archegos Capital Management, Blackstone, McKinsey, Getty, Middlebury College, China Construction Bank, Harvard Business School, Mitsubishi, Wall, Autonomous Research, Anguilla, Agricultural Bank of China, Capital Management, Metropolitan Museum of Art, Vogue, New York Rangers, Oaktree Capital Management, Bloomberg, Staten, Disney, JPMorgan, Trade, AP Locations: China, Beijing, Manhattan, New York City, Caracas, Venezuela, Brookville, tony Long, hcuccinello@insider.com

☆ Jeremy Siegel says Treasurys crashed because everyone forgot they're a bad inflation hedge while stocks 'do beautifully'
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Bond yields have surged as investors realize the asset is a bad inflation hedge, Jeremy Siegel told CNBC. Instead, stocks are a much better hedge and will perform "beautifully" against inflation, he added. "Bonds are great hedges against geopolitical risk, against financial crises, but they're very bad against inflation." AdvertisementAdvertisementThe bond market crash of recent weeks stems from the asset class' ineffectiveness against inflation, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel told CNBC. Though Siegel sees inflation slowing down, he warned that growing federal deficits and other factors could bring back inflation to pandemic levels.

Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Bonds, —, Wharton, Siegel, that's, Howard Marks Organizations: CNBC, Service, Treasury, Oaktree Capital

☆ Historically volatile week will test the bull market in stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

This historic weakness is well-enshrined in stock market lore and encapsulated in the old chestnut, "Sell Rosh Hashana and buy Yom Kippur." Triple witching refers to each quarter's simultaneous expiration of stock index futures and options and individual stock options. It may be true we are in a bull market, but it is certainly not a typical one. Instead of trying to pick winners, Marks sensibly proposes the opposite: You might also achieve that goal — of producing alpha, or outperformance — by holding fewer of the losers. That is why the vast majority of active stock pickers continue to underperform the market, and why money continues to flow into passive index funds.

Persons: Rosh Hashana, Jonathan Krinsky, Lowry, Howard Marks, Oaktree, Marks, FAANGs, Jesse Livermore, It's Organizations: Triple, Bulls, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Facebook, Netflix Locations: Yom, Yom Kippur

☆ Meet Ted Pick, the hard-charging 'deal junkie' who rose to the top at Morgan Stanley the old-fashioned way — and looks poised to succeed James Gorman as CEO
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( Hayley Cuccinello | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +20 min

Employees knew they were getting promoted if Pick told them to wear a tie the following day, an ex-managing director recalled. While Morgan Stanley currently trades at a premium among its Wall Street peers, its enviable success isn't thanks to Pick. Succession has traditionally been a bloody sport on Wall Street, and Morgan Stanley is no exception. Gonzalo Marroquin/Patrick McMullan via Getty Images Show less Morgan Stanley investment management head and dark horse in the race for CEO, Dan Simkowitz. Despite enjoying the stock price gains under Gorman's reign, plenty of longtime employees want another dyed-in-the-wool Morgan Stanley loyalist, according to a former senior executive.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, Pick, Gucci loafers, Blackstone, Tony James, Morgan, James Gorman, Gorman, Andy Saperstein, Dan Simkowitz, John Mack, Ted, James, Phil Purcell, Mack, Purcell, Merrill Lynch, Paul Taubman, Colm Kelleher, coheads, Gonzalo Marroquin, Patrick McMullan, Saperstein, Euromoney, Parker Gilbert, He's, John, cohead, Bolu, Goldman Sachs, Pablo, tony, Betsey Kittenplan, Smith Barney, James cochairs, Jim Breyer, Anna Wintour, John Mack pranking Pick, John Waldron, Goldman, I'm, Howard Marks, Bill Parcells, atta, Brian Moynihan, aren't, David Solomon, Jamie Dimon's, Eaton Vance, he's, you've, Richard Drew, — Organizations: Employees, Archegos Capital Management, Blackstone, McKinsey, Getty, Middlebury College, China Construction Bank, Harvard Business School, Mitsubishi, Wall, Autonomous Research, Anguilla, Agricultural Bank of China, Capital Management, Metropolitan Museum of Art, Vogue, New York Rangers, Oaktree Capital Management, Bloomberg, Staten, Disney, JPMorgan, Trade, AP Locations: China, Beijing, Manhattan, New York City, Caracas, Venezuela, Brookville, tony Long

☆ 10 Things Before the Opening Bell: Negotiators race to finalize a tentative debt ceiling deal
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-29 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Phil Rosen here in New York. The White House and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy reached an agreement in principle on the debt ceiling. The deal will allow government borrowing to rise and avoid a default ahead of a June 5 deadline. Negotiators are now racing to finalize the bill's text ahead of a vote which is expected to take place on Wednesday. Curated by Phil Rosen in New York.

☆ Davos vs. Milken: Battle of the high-profile conferences
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Arguably the biggest financial conference of the year just wrapped in Beverly Hills. Insider's Dakin Campbell, who was on the ground at Milken, has a report on the five biggest topics discussed this year. Dakin's report got me thinking about how Milken stacks up against another high-profile conference: Davos. Milken is also designed, thanks to its namesake, with a keen eye on what the finance industry wants, he added. Click here to read more about the biggest topics being discussed at the Milken Conference.

☆ Billionaire investor Howard Marks tells clients he is taking a leave of absence after a recent throat cancer diagnosis: 'I should be fully back in action around mid-summer'
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( Rebecca Ungarino | Kaja Whitehouse | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Howard Marks told clients that he is taking a leave of absence after a throat cancer diagnosis. Marks, who cofounded Oaktree, said he expects to be "fully back in action around mid-summer." Marks, 77, does not expect "any negative consequences from the treatment, or any lasting limitations on my activities." Billionaire investor and Oaktree Capital Management co-chairman Howard Marks said in a note to Oaktree clients on Wednesday that he is taking a leave of absence while he undergoes treatment after a recent throat cancer diagnosis. "I'm writing to let you know I was recently diagnosed with a relatively common form of throat cancer.

☆ Banking turmoil isn't over as regional lenders face risk of commercial-property credit losses, JPMorgan strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( Zinya Salfiti | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Regional banks' troubles aren't over and remain "an area of concern", JPMorgan Asset Management's Jonathan Liang said. They are facing increased risks of credit losses in the commercial-property sector, which may come under stress, he said. And so we think that in the coming year or two, there's going to be growing distress in this space, and that will also potentially amount to credit losses for those US regional banks," he added. Many experts have warned the US commercial real-estate sector could face problems as high borrowing costs and tighter credit conditions following the recent banking turmoil complicate matters for big property owners as they seek to refinance loans. Nearly $450 billion in commercial real-estate debt is due to mature in 2023 - meaning a final payment on those loans are due, per data cited from Trepp by JPMorgan.

☆ Howard Marks says commercial real estate defaults could add to market stress in the months ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Market veteran Howard Marks is sounding the alarm on commercial real estate, with an anticipated wave of mortgage defaults set to add stress to the financial system. The longtime investor called commercial real estate loans "one of the biggest worries" U.S. banks face today in the face of higher interest rates and a looming recession. "Higher interest rates call for higher demanded capitalization rates, which will cause most real estate prices to fall," Marks said. To be sure, Marks said he's not sure if banks will suffer losses on their commercial real estate loans, or what the magnitude will be. "Mortgage defaults generally don't signal the end of the story, but rather the beginning of negotiations between lenders and landlords," Marks said.

☆ Howard Marks says rock-bottom rates are history, bitcoin has its uses, and AI won't replace the best investors. Here are his 8 best quotes from a new interview.
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-15 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Howard Marks says interest rates won't return to zero anytime soon. The billionaire investor warns the ballooning US federal debt may cause problems in the future. Marks says AI won't replace the best investors, and the banking fiasco shone a light on bitcoin. (Marks was warning that continued growth in the US federal debt will likely have serious consequences down the line.) It should be harder and harder and harder to run money and be paid highly for producing inferior.

☆ Guest view: Direct lending may be entering new era
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Armen Panossian | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

NEW YORK, April 13 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Challenges in the banking system are expanding the opportunities available to direct lenders. I believe direct lenders’ market share will increase significantly in the future due to the substantial mismatch of supply and demand that has emerged in the market for funding large-scale LBOs. Direct lenders, including funds at Oaktree, are now seeking to fill this gap. Not all direct lenders will be able to take advantage of this opportunity, though. This, in turn, is attracting interest and capital from those direct lenders able to fill the massive gap.

☆ The unraveling of fintech darling Vise
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Stephanie Palazzolo | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +28 min

It was April, and more than two dozen salespeople who worked for the fintech startup Vise had been ordered to a multiday off-site at the W Hoboken hotel in New Jersey to share exhaustive reports on their performance. Even salespeople at bigger, established, top-tier investment-management firms typically wouldn't close $250 million in a year, multiple sales employees said. (K-means clustering is an unsupervised machine-learning algorithm often referred to as a form of AI, Vise's founders said). (Vise's founders disputed this, saying the company received updated financial data only once a day for its portfolio-construction engine.) And to address its "leaky funnel" of overestimating prospective sales, Vise was to stop outreach to new clients while it onboards and upsells to existing clients, the document said.

☆ Goldman Sachs' investor day led to more questions than answers
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-01 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

David Solomon at Goldman Sachs' 2023 investor day. All eyes were on Goldman Sachs yesterday as the bank held its second-ever investor day. The biggest news of the day was Solomon, along with other key executives, acknowledging the bank was exploring "strategic alternatives" for its consumer business. Hinting at "strategic alternatives" was something people would want to hear more about. And click here to read more about Goldman exploring "strategic alternatives" for its consumer biz.

☆ HBCU students diversify alternative investing with the help of Wall Street’s biggest firms
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-17 | by ( Frank Holland | In Frank-Holland | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The AltFinance Fellowship is the brainchild of top alternative investment firms Ares Management, Apollo Global Management and Oaktree Capital Management. Selected students will also receive a scholarship of up to $10,000 if they're sophomores, while juniors and seniors can receive up to $15,000. Partnering schools include Clark Atlanta University, Howard University, Morehouse College and Spelman College. The private equity, private credit and commercial real estate industry has about $10 trillion in assets under management, according to data provider Preqin. "This is not a charitable activity," Howard Marks, co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, told CNBC.

☆ Wall Street's biggest investors are all but sure of a recession next year. Here’s where they are hiding out
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-29 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

For investors looking for a way to ride out the storm in one piece, here are where the biggest investors are hiding out. Emerging markets Bond King Gundlach said it's time to buy emerging market stocks as the dollar has likely hit its peak. Cash Cash, one of the most hated corners of the market for years, has gotten some newfound love as risk assets remain stuck in a rout. Buying safe government bonds allows investors to shop for riskier, more opportunistic credits in the market, Gundlach said. Spreads on non-Treasurys have widened, including guaranteed mortgages, junk bond yields, emerging market debt and asset back securities, he added.

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Oaktree Capital's Howard MarksHoward Marks, Oaktree Capital Management co-chairman, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the 'sea change' in the market, if the last fourteen years almost a 'bubble' and how investors should prepare for next year.

☆ Returns will be harder to come by moving forward, investor Howard Marks says
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-23 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The market is entering a massive regime shift after about 14 years of easy money and low interest rates, and that could make it harder to find solid returns from some assets, according to Oaktree Capital Management's Howard Marks. During that period, investors have benefited from low rates that created an ideal environment for borrowers and asset owners, the famed investor said on CNBC's " Closing Bell " on Friday. During this time, many investors joined the market, with low-interest rates encouraging demand for riskier assets, Marks said. "It isn't normalcy, and it's not — I don't think — going to be the norm going forward," he said. Going forward, interest rates hovering in this range and higher returns on assets like high-yield bonds should deter investors from buying riskier assets, Marks added.

☆ Howard Marks says we are in the third sea change in his 53-year career on Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-13 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Market veteran Howard Marks said higher rates and safer returns are signs of the market's third-ever sea change in his 53-year investing career. Memos from Oaktree Capital Management's Marks have gained a wide following on Wall Street, and even legendary investor Warren Buffett has said he reads them regularly and always learns something from them. Credit investors became able to demand higher returns and better creditor protections," Marks said. The investor warned that because of the sea change, investments that have worked well in the past might start to underperform in the coming years. "That's the sea change I'm talking about."

☆ Here are investing tips from the memo of Howard Marks, which Warren Buffett reads
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-24 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This year's extreme volatility has kept investors on edge, but market veteran Howard Marks believes that none of the short-term risks should matter. "Investors should find a way to keep their hands off their portfolios most of the time," Marks said in the memo. The S & P 500 has fallen nearly 16% this year. "Consistently buy an S & P 500 low-cost index fund," Buffett said in 2017. "Think of participating in the long-term performance of the average as the main event and the active efforts to improve on it as 'embroidery around the edges,'" Marks wrote.

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